\begin{table}[t!]
\begin{center}
\begin{threeparttable}
\begin{scriptsize}
\caption{Conscription and electoral outcomes: Balancing religious affiliations\label{EEREV-D-21-00004_TableC3}}
\begin{tabular*}{\columnwidth}{@{\extracolsep{\stretch{1}}}l*{8}{c}@{}}
\hline
\hline
&\multicolumn{1}{c}{(1)} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(2)}  &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(3)} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(4)} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(5)}  &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(6)}  &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(7)} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(8)}\\
       &\multicolumn{3}{c}{Earlier elections} &\multicolumn{5}{c}{Later elections}\\
\cmidrule(lr){2-4} \cmidrule(lr){5-9}
\multicolumn{1}{l}{\textit{Election year}}&\multicolumn{1}{c}{1965} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1969} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1974} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1995}  &\multicolumn{1}{c}{2002} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{2007} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{2012} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{2017}\\
%\hline
\cmidrule(lr){2-9}
& \multicolumn{8}{c}{Panel A: First-Stage Estimates. Dep. Variable: Conscripted (\%)}\\
\hline
\\ Eligible births (\%)&       0.205***&       0.234***&       0.218***&       0.216***&       0.214***&       0.221***&       0.206***&       0.215***\\
                    &     (0.053)   &     (0.052)   &     (0.045)   &     (0.045)   &     (0.043)   &     (0.038)   &     (0.049)   &     (0.040)   \\

\\ Mean dep. variable&        7.74   &        7.74   &        7.74   &        7.74   &        7.74   &        7.74   &        7.74   &        7.74   \\
\\
%\hline
\cmidrule(lr){2-9}
& \multicolumn{8}{c}{Panel B: 2SLS Estimates. Dep. Variable: Radical right-wing vote (\% of registered)}\\
\hline
\\ Conscripted (\%) &       0.044   &               &       0.005   &       0.940** &       0.554*  &       0.109   &       0.362   &     --0.143   \\
                    &     (0.090)   &               &     (0.017)   &     (0.411)   &     (0.289)   &     (0.197)   &     (0.249)   &     (0.292)   \\

\\ Mean dep. variable&        1.21   &        0.00   &        0.31   &       22.18   &       22.25   &       14.89   &       23.24   &       27.27   \\
\\
%\hline
\cmidrule(lr){2-9}
& \multicolumn{8}{c}{Panel C: 2SLS Estimates. Dep. Variable: Abstention (\% of registered)}\\
\hline
\\ Conscripted (\%) &       1.359***&       1.983***&       0.913***&       0.005   &     --1.005***&       0.575***&       0.070   &       0.624** \\
                    &     (0.468)   &     (0.667)   &     (0.314)   &     (0.293)   &     (0.315)   &     (0.207)   &     (0.259)   &     (0.297)   \\

\\ Mean dep. variable&       15.29   &       23.63   &       17.07   &       19.79   &       28.39   &       16.73   &       19.41   &       20.64   \\

\\ Lat-lon polynomial & 2nd & 2nd & 2nd & 2nd & 2nd & 2nd & 2nd & 2nd \\ 

Border segment FE   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
Historical dialect FE &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
Full set of controls &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
\hline
First-stage $ F $-statistic&       15.04   &       20.04   &       23.25   &       23.24   &       25.19   &       33.71   &       17.54   &       29.04   \\
Observations        &         462   &         462   &         462   &         462   &         462   &         462   &         462   &         462   \\
Clusters            &          32   &          32   &          32   &          32   &          32   &          32   &          32   &          32   \\
\hline
\hline
\end{tabular*}
\end{scriptsize}
\begin{tablenotes}[normal,flushleft]
\begin{scriptsize}
\item \emph{Notes}:
2SLS estimates of the effect of conscription into the Wehrmacht on support for radical right-wing candidates and on abstention when balancing religious affiliation. 
The unit of observation is a municipality. 
Standard errors clustered at the canton level in parentheses. 
Panel A: First-stage estimates; 
Panels B and C: 2SLS estimates with radical right-wing vote and abstention as the outcome, respectively. 
Each column presents the estimation for a different election. 
All specifications include a quadratic polynomial in latitude and longitude ($ x+y+x^2+y^2+xy $). 
First-stage F-statistic is the Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald F-statistic of the first-stage estimation. 
* significant at 10\%; ** at 5\%; *** at 1\%. 
\end{scriptsize}
\end{tablenotes}
\end{threeparttable}
\end{center}
\end{table}
